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中州期货：铁矿盘面震荡运行
时间:2024-01-08 12:11:56 来源：财经时报 浏览次数:15 我来说两句(0)
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①现货价格：青岛港PB粉1048，金步巴粉1009，超特粉928。铁矿现货今日累积下跌5-15，全国港口现货成交93.6万吨，环比下跌16.9%，进口矿成交39笔，今日现货市场整体交投情绪一般，成交量一般。贸易商报价积极性尚可，多以随行就市为主，钢厂询盘不多，按需补库为主。
②Mysteel统计全国钢厂进口铁矿石库存总量为9785.83万吨，环比增加258.88万吨。Mysteel统计全国45个港口进口铁矿库存为12244.75万吨，环比增253.02万吨；全国47个港口进口铁矿石库存总量12807.75万吨，环比增251.02万吨。截至1月5日，江苏地区钢厂铁水成本3022元/吨，张家港重废价格2690元/吨，铁水比废钢价格高279元/吨。方大特钢计划1月12日起，对高炉及轧材产线计划交叉性检修，检修历时28天，预计影响建材产量约9万吨左右。
③综合来看，淡季钢材需求进一步收缩。铁水产量持续回落，且降幅明显。铁矿发运量小幅回落。港口及钢厂厂内库存延续累库趋势。钢厂检修计划较多，短期内铁水难以回升。铁矿基差仍然处于高位，限制盘面跌幅。钢厂陆续出台冬储计划，持续关注钢厂节前补库需求情况及宏观政策端变化。
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